The The Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on SME activity in Kazakhstan: Regional Level Analysis
Keywords:
fiscal decentralization, SME development, regional budget, corporate income tax reform, local governmentAbstract
This paper examines the impact of Kazakhstan’s 2020 corporate income tax (CIT) reform, which reassigned SME CIT revenues to regional budgets, on SME development from 2017–2023. Using regional panel data with fixed effects, results show that the reform significantly increased SME registration, employment, output, and gross value added. The effects were strongest for small firms and individual entrepreneurs, reflecting enhanced local fiscal incentives. The findings suggest that fiscal decentralization can stimulate regional entrepreneurship and economic activity by strengthening local governments’ capacity and motivation to support SMEs. Policy implications highlight the importance of sustained subnational fiscal autonomy for inclusive growth.
References
Amagoh, F. (2022). An examination of fiscal decentralization in Kazakhstan. Memlekettik basqaru zhane Memlekettik qyzmet khalyqaralyq gylymi-taldau zhurnaly ― Journal of Public Administration and Public Ser-vice International Scientific Analysis, 2(81), 14–23. https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-651
Akai, N., & Sakata, M. (2002). Fiscal decentralization contributes to economic growth: evidence from state-level cross-section data for the United States. Journal of urban economics, 52(1), 93–108. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0094-1190(02)00018-9
Asatryan, Z., Feld, L. P., & Geys, B. (2015). Partial fiscal decentralization and sub-national government fiscal discipline: empirical evidence from OECD countries. Public Choice, 163(3), 307–320.
Bahl, R. W., & Linn, J. F. (2014). Governing and financing cities in the developing world. Cambridge, MA: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.
(2025). Baker McKenzie. Kazakhstan New Tax Code. Retrieved from https://insightplus.bakermckenzie.com/bm/tax/kazakhstan-new-tax-code#:~: text=On%2018 %20July%202025 %2C%20Kazakhstan, in%20the%20New%20Tax%20Code.
(2008). Budget Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan No. 95-IV ZRK. Approved 4 December 2008. Retrieved from https://adilet.zan.kz/eng/docs/K080000095_
(2024). Budget Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan No. 95-IV ZRK. As amended on 22 November 2024. Re-trieved from https://adilet.zan.kz/eng/archive/docs/K080000095_/22.11.2024
Bukharsky, V. (2021). Fiscal decentralization and incentives of local authorities in the Russian Federation. Financial Journal, 13(2), 114–129.
(2017). Bureau of National Statistics. Methodology for calculating indicators of small and medium enterprises (Order No. 130). Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Retrieved from https://stat.gov.kz/en/methodology/25856/
(2025). Bureau of National Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Small and medium enterprises statistics. Retrieved from https://stat.gov.kz
Bukharsky, V. V., & Lavrov, A. M. (2020). Hard budget constraints: theoretical foundations and problems of Russian cities. Voprosy gosudarstvennogo i munitsipalnogo upravleniia ― Issues of State and Municipal Admin-istration, (1), 7–40.
Canavire-Bacarreza, G., Martinez-Vazquez, J., & Yedgenov, B. (2020). Identifying and disentangling the im-pact of fiscal decentralization on economic growth. World Development, 127, 104742. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104742
Din, M., Munawarah, M., Ghozali, I., Achmad, T., & Karim, F. (2022). Governance of financial management and regulation-based fiscal accountability. Journal of Governance and Regulation/Volume, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.22495/jgrv11i2art10
Doucet, P., Requejo, I., & Suarez-Gonzalez, I. (2024). Business groups’ internal labour markets and SME la-bour productivity. Small business economics, 62(2), 707–725. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-023-00780-4
Enikolopov, R., & Zhuravskaya, E. (2007). Decentralization and political institutions. Journal of public eco-nomics, 91(11-12), 2261–2290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2007.02.006
(2017). ESPON Small and medium-sized enterprises in European regions and cities. ESPON EGTC. Retrieved from:
https://archive.espon.eu/sites/default/files/attachments/SME_final-report_ScientificAnnex_10.pdf
Escaleras, M., & Chiang, E. P. (2017). Fiscal decentralization and institutional quality on the business envi-ronment. Economics letters, 159, 161–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2017.07.019
(2020). European Investment Bank (EIB). SME Development in the Russian Federation: Regional Patterns and Structural Constraints. EIB Working Paper Series. Retrieved from https://www.eif.org/news_centre/publications/eif_working_paper_2020_67.pdf
Faguet, J. P. (2004). Does decentralization increase government responsiveness to local needs?: Evidence from Bolivia. Journal of public economics, 88(3-4), 867–893. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(02)00185-8
Garello, P. (2003). The dynamics of fiscal federalism. Journal des Economistes et des tudes Humaines, 13(4). https://doi.org/10.2202/1145-6396.1104
Gupta, R. (2024). Untangling the nexus of entrepreneurship and unemployment: A bibliometric review. Jour-nal of Global Entrepreneurship Research, 14(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40497-024-00400-9
Hanif, I., Wallace, S., & Gago-de-Santos, P. (2020). Economic growth by means of fiscal decentralization: an empirical study for federal developing countries. Sage Open, 10(4), 2158244020968088. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244020968088
Jia, J., Ning, J., & Zhang, J. (2023). Information transparency, monitoring, and incentives under decentraliza-tion: Evidence from China’s fiscal reform of “province managing county”. Journal of Regional Science, 63(2), 263–289. https://doi.org/10.1111/jors.12615
Likando, J. M., Moose, J., & Simui, F. (2023). The role of local government in the growth of small and medium enterprise in Kafue, Zambia. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 7(9), 2422–2431. https://dx.doi.org/10.47772/IJRISS.2023.701182
Martinez‐Vazquez, J., Lago‐Peñas, S., & Sacchi, A. (2017). The impact of fiscal decentralization: A survey. Journal of Economic Surveys, 31(4), 1095–1129. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12182
Martinez-Vazquez, J., & McNab, R. M. (2003). Fiscal decentralization and economic growth. World develop-ment, 31(9), 1597–1616. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(03)00109-8
Oates, W. E. (1972). Fiscal Federalism. Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.
Oates, W. E. (1999). An essay on fiscal federalism. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(3), 1120–1149.
OECD. (2018). SME and entrepreneurship policy in Kazakhstan 2018: OECD Studies on SMEs and Entrepre-neurship. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264301450-en
O’Leary, D. (2022). Unemployment and entrepreneurship across high-, middle- and low-performing European regions. Regional Studies, Regional Science, 9(1), 571–580. https://doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2022.2118072
Rodríguez-Pose, A., & Vidal-Bover, M. (2024). Unfunded mandates and the economic impact of decentralisa-tion. When finance does not follow function. Political Studies, 72(2), 652–676. https://doi.org/10.1177/00323217221136666
Rodden, J. (2003). Reviving Leviathan: fiscal federalism and the growth of government. International organi-zation, 57(4), 695–729. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818303574021
Smith, H. J. M. (2010). Fiscal decentralization: Explaining successful local economic development in Latin America. Available at SSRN 1726068. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1726068
Weingast, B. R. (2009). Second generation fiscal federalism: The implications of fiscal incentives. Journal of urban economics, 65(3), 279–293. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2008.12.005
Song, Y., Ma, J., Guan, S., & Liu, Y. (2022). Fiscal decentralization, regional innovation and industrial struc-ture distortions in China. Sustainability, 15(1), 710. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15010710
(2025). Tax Committee of the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Corporate Tax Rate in Ka-zakhstan. https://www.gov.kz/memleket/entities/minfin? lang=en
Tiebout, C. M. (1956). A pure theory of local expenditures. Journal of political economy, 64(5), 416–424.
(2023). World Bank. Kazakhstan Public Finance Review: Full Report, January 2024. Retrieved from https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/90dbef81d187b403bbb2a9acc2f460d8-0080062024/original/Kazakhstan-PFR-full-Report-January-2024-en.pdf
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 BUKETOV BUSINESS REVIEW

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.


