How Emotional Dynamics are Associated with Advertising Recall: Evidence from Facial Expression Analysis in Young Consumers
Keywords:
video advertising, machine learning, neuromarketing, facial coding, emotional dynamicsAbstract
Abstract
Background: Emotions elicited by advertisements are known to influence what consumers remember; however, prior studies have often relied on averaged measures. We examined how the dynamics of facial expressions during video advertisements relate to ad recall in young adults.
Methods: In a laboratory experiment, 40 participants watched branded video commercials while their facial expressions were continuously recorded. From these recordings, we derived features capturing emotional intensity and temporal dynamics (e.g., variability, peaks). We then applied correlation analyses and machine-learning classifiers to predict which ads participants would later recall.
Results: Ads with higher recall consistently elicited greater emotional variability. Dynamic facial emotion features accounted for a substantial proportion of the most informative predictors in the final classification model, which achieved an AUC of approximately 0.867. At the same time, overall levels of positive emotion remained a significant predictor of recall, indicating that emotional dynamics complement rather than replace static affective intensity.
Conclusions: Temporal patterns of emotion during ad viewing substantially enhance the prediction of memorability. Monitoring fluctuations in facial expressions provides unique insight beyond static metrics and offers actionable guidance for designing more memorable advertisements.
References
(n.d.). Advertising Association of Central Asia Advertising overview and market assessments. AACA. Retrieved from https://aaca.com.kz/advertising
Anderson, D. J., & Adolphs, R. (2014). A Framework for Studying Emotions across Species. Cell, 157(1), 187–200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2014.03.003
Ariely, D., & Berns, G. S. (2010). Neuromarketing: The hope and hype of neuroimaging in business. Nature Re-views Neuroscience, 11(4), 284–292. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrn2795
Baldo, D., Viswanathan, V. S., Timpone, R. J., & Venkatraman, V. (2022). The heart, brain, and body of market-ing: Complementary roles of neurophysiological measures in tracking emotions, memory, and ad effective-ness. Psychology & Marketing, 39(10), 1979–1991. https://doi.org/10.1002/mar.21697
Baños-González, M., Baraybar-Fernández, A., & Rajas-Fernández, M. (2020). The Application of Neuromarket-ing Techniques in the Spanish Advertising Industry: Weaknesses and Opportunities for Development. Fron-tiers in Psychology, 11, 2175. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.02175
Büdenbender, B., Höfling, T. T. A., Gerdes, A. B. M., & Alpers, G. W. (2023). Training machine learning algo-rithms for automatic facial coding: The role of emotional facial expressions’ prototypicality. PLOS ONE, 18(2), e0281309. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0281309
Byrne, A., Bonfiglio, E., Rigby, C., & Edelstyn, N. (2022). A systematic review of the prediction of consumer preference using EEG measures and machine-learning in neuromarketing research. Brain Informatics, 9(1), 27. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40708-022-00175-3
Ekman, P., Friesen, W. V., & Ellsworth, P. (Eds.). (1972). Emotion in the human face: Guidelines for research and an integration of findings. Pergamon Press.
Ekman, P., & Friesen, W. V. (1978). Facial Action Coding System: A technique for the measurement of facial movement. Consulting Psychologists Press.
(2020). ESOMAR & Global Research Business Network. Guideline on research and data analytics with children, young people and other vulnerable individuals.
(2022). Forbes. The attention economy: Standing out among the noise. Forbes. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.com/councils/forbesbusinessdevelopmentcouncil/2022/03/23/the-attention-economy-standing-out-among-the-noise/
(n.d.). Google. Marketing mix modeling guidebook. Think with Google. Retrieved from https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/_qs/documents/18374/Marketing_Mix_Modeling_Guidebook.pdf
Grigaliunaite, V., & Pileliene, L. (2016). Emotional or Rational? The Determination of the Influence of Advertis-ing Appeal on Advertising Effectiveness. Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, 63(3), 391–414. https://doi.org/10.1515/saeb-2016-0130
Gupta, R., Kapoor, A. P., & Verma, H. V. (2025). Neuro-insights: A systematic review of neuromarketing perspec-tives across consumer buying stages. Frontiers in Neuroergonomics, 6, 1542847. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnrgo.2025.1542847
(2025). IAB Australia & PwC Australia. Internet advertising revenue report: March quarter 2025. IAB Australia. Retrieved from https://iabaustralia.com.au/resource/internet-advertising-revenue-report-march-quarter-2025/
(n.d.). Internet Advertising Bureau UK. Digital Adspend: The official measure of the size of the UK digital adver-tising market. IAB UK. Retrieved from https://www.iabuk.com/adspend
(2025). Interactive Advertising Bureau & PwC. IAB/PwC internet advertising revenue report: Full year 2024 (Re-port). Interactive Advertising Bureau. Retrieved from https://www.iab.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/IAB_PwC-Internet-Ad-Revenue-Report-Full-Year-2024.pdf
(n.d.). iMotions. Facial expression analysis: Emotion detection software. Retrieved from https://imotions.com/products/imotions-lab/modules/fea-facial-expression-analysis/
Jiang, Y., Sun, Y., & Tu, S. (2023). Economic implications of emotional marketing based on consumer loyalty of mobile phone brands: the sequential mediating roles of brand identity and brand trust. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 29(4), 1318–1335. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2023.19278
(2025). K-Research Central Asia. k-research.kz. Retrieved from https://k-research.kz/uploads/analitics/2025/obzor_reklama_rinok_KZ_jan_jun_2024_2025.pdf
Kazybaeva, A. M. (2022). Neuromarketing. Individual Entrepreneur “Balausa”.
Kolar, T., Batagelj, Z., Omeragić, I., & Husić Mehmedović, M. (2021). How Moment-to-Moment EEG Measures Enhance Ad Effectiveness Evaluation: Peak Emotions during Branding Moments As Key Indicators. Journal of Advertising Research, 61(4), 365–381. https://doi.org/10.2501/JAR-2021-014
Kühn, S., Strelow, E., & Gallinat, J. (2016). Multiple “buy buttons” in the brain: Forecasting chocolate sales at point-of-sale based on functional brain activation using fMRI. NeuroImage, 136, 122–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neuroimage.2016.05.021
Küster, D., Krumhuber, E. G., Steinert, L., Ahuja, A., Baker, M., & Schultz, T. (2020). Opportunities and Challeng-es for Using Automatic Human Affect Analysis in Consumer Research. Frontiers in Neuroscience, 14, 400. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnins.2020.00400
Lewinski, P., Fransen, M. L., & Tan, E. S. H. (2014). Predicting advertising effectiveness by facial expressions in response to amusing persuasive stimuli. Journal of Neuroscience, Psychology, and Economics, 7(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1037/npe0000012
Lim, W. M. (2018). Demystifying neuromarketing. Journal of Business Research, 91, 205–220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2018.05.036
Lin, M. -H. (Jenny), Cross, S. N. N., Jones, W. J., & Childers, T. L. (2018). Applying EEG in consumer neurosci-ence. European Journal of Marketing, 52(1/2), 66–91. https://doi.org/10.1108/EJM-12-2016-0805
(2017). MarketingProfs. Advertising in the age of distraction: How digital media affects attention spans. Re-trieved from https://www.marketingprofs.com/articles/2017/31999/advertising-in-the-age-of-distraction
McDuff, D., El Kaliouby, R., Senechal, T., Demirdjian, D., & Picard, R. (2014). Automatic measurement of ad preferences from facial responses gathered over the Internet. Image and Vision Computing, 32(10), 630–640. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.imavis.2014.01.004
McDuff, D., Kaliouby, R. E., Cohn, J. F., & Picard, R. W. (2015). Predicting Ad Liking and Purchase Intent: Large-Scale Analysis of Facial Responses to Ads. IEEE Transactions on Affective Computing, 6(3), 223–235. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAFFC.2014.2384198
McGaugh, J. L. (2003). Memory and emotion: The making of lasting memories. Columbia University Press.
Media Rating Council & Interactive Advertising Bureau. (2014). MRC viewable ad impression measurement guidelines (Version 1.0, June 30, 2014). Retrieved from https://www.iab.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/MRC-Viewable-Ad-Impression-Measurement-Guideline.pdf
(n.d.). Meta. Facebook Business Help Center. Retrieved from https://www.facebook.com/business/help/417527072254206? id=2564729006895902
(2024). Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Model rules of scientific eth-ics. Retrieved from https://adilet.zan.kz/rus/docs/V2400035392
(2023). National Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Code of scientific ethics. Retrieved from https://backend.qazscience.gov.kz/media/documents_content/рус. -Кодекс-научной-этики.pdf
Pine, B. J., II, & Gilmore, J. H. (1998). Welcome to the experience economy. Harvard Business Review, 97–105.
Prihatiningsih, T., Panudju, R., & Prasetyo, I. J. (2024). Digital Advertising Trends and Effectiveness in the Mod-ern Era: A Systematic Literature Review. Golden Ratio of Marketing and Applied Psychology of Business, 4(2), 132–143. https://doi.org/10.52970/grmapb.v4i2.505
Puprediwar, P. B., & Tapas, Dr. P. (2024). Beyond traditional consumer research—Current adoption and next steps for neuromarketing. Management, 28(2), 70–105. https://doi.org/10.58691/man/193031
Russell, J. A. (1980). A circumplex model of affect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39(6), 1161–1178. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0077714
Singh, P., Alhassan, I., & Khoshaim, L. (2023). What Do You Need to Know? A Systematic Review and Research Agenda on Neuromarketing Discipline. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Electronic Commerce Research, 18(4), 2007–2032. https://doi.org/10.3390/jtaer18040101
Stöckli, S., Schulte-Mecklenbeck, M., Borer, S., & Samson, A. C. (2018). Facial expression analysis with AFFDEX and FACET: A validation study. Behavior Research Methods, 50(4), 1446–1460. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-017-0996-1
Teixeira, T., Wedel, M., & Pieters, R. (2012). Emotion-Induced Engagement in Internet Video Advertisements. Journal of Marketing Research, 49(2), 144–159. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmr.10.0207
(2025). Tribune. Tribune.kz. Retrieved from https://tribune.kz/kakie-sotsseti-vybiraet-kazahstanskaya-molodyozh/
(2023). U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office for Human Research Protections. Research with children—FAQs. Retrieved from https://www.hhs.gov/ohrp/regulations-and-policy/guidance/faq/children-research/index.html
Venkatraman, V., Dimoka, A., Pavlou, P. A., Vo, K., Hampton, W., Bollinger, B., Hershfield, H. E., Ishihara, M., & Winer, R. S. (2015). Predicting Advertising success beyond Traditional Measures: New Insights from Neuro-physiological Methods and Market Response Modeling. Journal of Marketing Research, 52(4), 436–452. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmr.13.0593
Vozzi, A., Ronca, V., Aricò, P., Borghini, G., Sciaraffa, N., Cherubino, P., Trettel, A., Babiloni, F., & Di Flumeri, G. (2021). The Sample Size Matters: To What Extent the Participant Reduction Affects the Outcomes of a Neuro-scientific Research. A Case-Study in Neuromarketing Field. Sensors, 21(18), 6088. https://doi.org/10.3390/s21186088
Vrtana, D., & Krizanova, A. (2023). The Power of Emotional Advertising Appeals: Examining Their Influence on Consumer Purchasing Behavior and Brand–Customer Relationship. Sustainability, 15(18), 13337. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151813337
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 BUKETOV BUSINESS REVIEW

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.


